Tennis April 29th

Posted on April 29, 2009 by Anders Nielsen | Free Picks

Keothavong - Dominguez Lino, Keothavong @ 2.65, 3 Units

Murray - Monaco, Monaco(1st set) @ 3.30, 1 Unit

Karlovic - Federer, (Game HCP) Karlovic +4.5 @ 1.85, 2 Units

Karlovic - Federer, Karlovic(1st set) @ 5.10, 1 Unit

 

Keothavong is no eagle on the clay courts, however, today she will be up against Lino, who has just returned from a nagging injury. H2H is 1-1 with Lino winning in 2006. Koethavong has improved immensely since then and Keothavong easily won their meeting on clay about a year ago in a challenger final. Keothavong has been in Morocco since Friday and is well prepared.
Murray hasn’t impressed in the transition to clay and Monaco is no push over. Monaco loves the clay and already has accustomed to the surroundings in Rome. This should give Monaco an advantage in the first set.

Federer is far from his best. He admits that much of the confidence is gone and preparations for this event probably haven’t been optimal as he has just entered fatherhood. Karlovic doesn’t excel on clay, but he very rarely lies flat for anyone. H2H says 7-1 Federer, but Karlovic has managed two first sets and only once did he lose by more than four games (Wimbledon, several years back). We think Federer will get the win here, but he may well get off to a slow start and we find it very difficult for Federer to brake Karlovic’s serve more than once.

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