Stat plays

Here a couple of picks that did not make today’s newsletter because we have not been able to find satisfying game day information about line-ups. They are based solely on statistical analysis and feel.

Slovan Liberec +0.25 at 1.86, 1 unit (we see Liberec as favourites)

This bet we feel very good about. Liberec have dominated Sp. Pragh in recent years. We would be betting more units if we were sure about line-ups. However, even without line-ups we do not worry too much. It is perfectly normal that the better known team, Sp. Pragh, is overrated on a monday with only a few matches to bet.

Enkoeping - Bunkeflo, under 2,5 goals at 2.00, 1 unit (bwin, bet down to 1,90)

This match-up is historicly low-scoring. Now their are both deep in a fierce relegation battle where a loss will be very costly. Both can live with a draw.